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The complexity of economy doesn't allow to make exact forecasts about the future. The forecasts relating to the economy are the result of estimates concerning many variables that form econometric models. But, in solving the last ones, there is no certainty that the simulation will converge to the best output.
Even though I acknowledge that the econometric models can't get accurate results, without doubt they are the tool for prediction more trustworthy than the mere human conjecture.
In any case, an unbiased opinion is needed before spreading abroad economic data.
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