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  • . Finance glossary entry for the term Efficient Market Theory.

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  • . This article reviews the literature surrounding the dominant academic theory of the behavior of futures and options markets, the efficient market hypothesis.

    Stocks - The Stock Market
  • . Proponents of the efficient market theory believe that there is perfect information in the stock market.
  • . That's not to say that efficient market theory fans claim that all stocks are necessarily priced correctly; instead, they claim that there is no way for you to know whether or not prices are too high or too low.
  • . Proponents of this theory spend little time trying to pick stocks that are going to be "winners"; instead, they simply try to match the market's performance.
  • . However, there is ample evidence to dispute the basic claims of this theory, and most investors don't believe it.
  • . The random walk theory draws conclusions that are similar to the efficient market theory, but it uses a different line of reasoning.
  • . The theory takes its name from a well-known book by Burton Malkiel (although others pioneered the idea decades earlier) which says that future stock prices are completely independent of past stock prices.
  • . Much like efficient market theory fans, the random walkers believe that it is impossible to pick "winning" stocks and that your best bet is just to try to match the market's performance, usually by using a long-term buy and hold strategy.


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    Past Performance of Mutual Funds and Stocks - Efficient Market Canada
  • . In fact, good past performance is more oftenassociated with poor future returns, for reasons that go to the veryheart of the theory of investment.
  • . In theory it's possible to increase your return by preferring those stocks and markets that have been falling in value or doing worse than average, the opposite of the conventional advice.

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  • . (or go to Topics ) In the 1960s, Cootner and Samuelson popularized the Random Walk Theory and the efficient market hypothesis.
  • . The findings, that pre-harvest marketing strategies may increase profits relative to naive harvest sales, run counter to what would be expected from the efficient market hypothesis and random walk theory.
  • . "Efficient Asset Portfolios and the Theory of Normal Backwardation, " Journal of Political Economy , 91:319-331, 1982.
  • . "Multiproduct Hedging Theory, Estimation, and an Application, " Review of Agricultural Economics , 15:521-535, 1993.
  • . "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work, " Journal of Finance , 25:383-423, May 1970.
  • . "Theory of the Inverse Carrying Charge in Futures Markets, " Journal of Farm Economics , 30:(1)1-28, February 1, 1948.

    Reference.com/Encyclopedia/Efficient market hypothesis
  • . It may be that professional and other market participants who have discovered reliable trading rules or stratagems see no reason to divulge them to academic researchers; the academics in any case tend to be intellectually wedded to the efficient markets theory.
  • . An alternative theory: Behavioral Finance Opponents of the EMH sometimes cite examples of market movements that seem inexplicable in terms of conventional theories of stock price determination, for example the stock market crash of where most stock exchanges crashed at the same time.

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  • . Topics covered include arbitrage, utility representation, portfolio theory, risk, mean-variance analysis and the CAPM, and efficient markets.
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  • . Charles H Dow wrote what came to be called Dow Theory in a series of Wall Street Journal editorials between 1900 and 1902.
  • . William P Hamilton developed the theory further and Robert Rhea published Dow Theory in 1932 based on the work of both Dow and Hamilton.
  • . Albert Einstein published the special theory of relativity in a paper in 1905 and followed it with the general theory of relativity in 1915.
  • . 125: Dow's theory began to attract cranks.
  • . This is a long way from traditional financial theory.

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